Watch the segments from 36:30 to 43:20 for key insights from Prof. Dr. Hüseyin Bağcı.
Prof. Dr. Hüseyin Bağcı Analyzes the New US Cabinet and Regional Dynamics
On November 15, 2024, Prof. Dr. Hüseyin Bağcı, co-founder of Ankara Global Advisory Group, joined Bloomberg HT’s Finans Merkezi program, hosted by Zeynep Özyol. Addressing the topic The New US Cabinet and Regional Politics, Prof. Bağcı provided incisive commentary on the implications of Donald Trump’s re-election, his emerging cabinet, and its potential impact on global and regional relations, particularly concerning Turkey, the Middle East, and Europe.
Key Insights by Prof. Dr. Hüseyin Bağcı:
Transformation in Turkish-American Relations Under Trump’s Second Term: Prof. Bağcı emphasized that Donald Trump’s second term will mark a significant departure from his first. Both Turkey and the U.S. have evolved, necessitating mutual re-evaluation of their strategies. He suggested that the established rapport between President Erdoğan and President Trump offers a foundation for collaborative economic initiatives, particularly in new Middle Eastern corridors and projects, steering away from the antagonistic tone of the Biden era.
Strategic Pragmatism in International Relations: Highlighting the necessity of pragmatic diplomacy, Prof. Bağcı predicted a cautious yet cooperative trajectory in Turkish-American relations. Both nations, guided by profit-driven policies, are likely to prioritize stability and strategic interests over ideological confrontations, showcasing a more calculated approach in their interactions.
Global South's Perception of Turkey: Drawing from his recent participation in the Global South Summit in São Paulo, Prof. Bağcı noted a growing appreciation for Turkey among nations in Africa, Latin America, and Asia. This shift, contrasting with Western perspectives, underscores Turkey’s expanding influence as a bridge between global regions, amplifying its role in shaping multipolar global dynamics.
European Concerns About Trump’s Return: Europe’s apprehension about Trump’s re-election reflects broader geopolitical anxieties. Prof. Bağcı cited Germany’s heightened focus on strengthening European autonomy, evidenced by historical declarations from its foreign minister. This European recalibration could reshape the continent’s strategic priorities, particularly in its relations with Russia and Turkey.
Germany and Russia’s Role in a Post-Conflict Ukraine: The meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz exemplifies efforts to broker peace in Ukraine. Prof. Bağcı suggested that Germany, especially amidst its domestic political realignments, stands poised to benefit economically and politically from the resolution of the Ukraine conflict, presenting opportunities for Turkey to engage in a broader European framework.
Evolving Middle Eastern Dynamics: According to Prof. Bağcı, the Middle East’s transformation, including shifts in alliances and emerging economic structures, demands adaptive strategies. Turkey’s proactive engagement in this changing landscape, facilitated by shared interests with the U.S., could redefine its regional influence and partnership models.
A New Chapter for Turkish-American Economic Cooperation: Prof. Bağcı underscored the potential for deepened economic ties underpinned by shared interests in trade and investment. He envisioned a future where Turkey’s alignment with democratic principles and its strategic role in Middle Eastern development become central to U.S.-Turkey relations.
Conclusion: Strategic Partnerships Rooted in Pragmatic and Profit-driven Diplomacy
Prof. Dr. Hüseyin Bağcı’s analysis highlighted the transformative potential of Donald Trump’s second term for Turkey-U.S. relations. With a shared focus on strategic pragmatism, economic collaboration, and adaptive diplomacy, both nations have the opportunity to recalibrate their partnership amidst evolving regional and global landscapes. These dynamics not only underscore Turkey’s pivotal role but also reflect a new era of cautious optimism in international relations.
Prof. Dr. Hüseyin Bağcı's insights also illuminate a pivotal moment in Turkish-American relations as Donald Trump's second term ushers in new dynamics. The evolving global landscape—marked by shifts in Middle Eastern geopolitics, a recalibrating Europe, and growing recognition of Turkey in the Global South—sets the stage for strategic partnerships rooted in pragmatic and profit-driven diplomacy. With mutual economic opportunities and a cautious yet cooperative approach, Turkey and the U.S. have the potential to redefine their relationship, leveraging shared interests to navigate the complexities of a transforming world order.
Ankara Global Advisory Group is proud to continue offering thought leadership on key international issues, ensuring that global decision-makers are equipped with the knowledge they need to navigate complex security dynamics.
For a more detailed analysis from Prof. Dr. Hüseyin Bağcı and the latest developments in international relations, continue following updates from Ankara Global Advisory Group.